Retail is doing super well.

September 29, 2024

Good morning, everyone.

  • Retail-focused REITs see a positive outlook, as leasing activity increases.
  • Landlords expect a sluggish industrial market, as tenants prioritize cost-cutting measures.
  • South Florida submarkets experience rent declines as new supply emerges.

Market Snapshot

Retail-Focused REITs Experience Strong Leasing and Rent Growth

Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on Unsplash
  • Earnings Exceed Expectations: Retail REITs such as Kimco Realty, Regency Centers, and Brixmor Property Group have surpassed earnings forecasts for the quarter, prompting them to raise guidance for the rest of the year. This strong performance is largely driven by robust leasing activity and significant rent growth across key retail sectors.
  • Demand for Prime Retail Spaces: There is heightened demand for well-located retail spaces, particularly in grocery-anchored shopping centers and open-air malls, which continue to attract high foot traffic. Retailers are willing to pay premium rents for these prime locations, enabling REITs to achieve higher rent escalations and improve overall financial performance.
  • Strategic Portfolio Enhancements: Retail REITs have focused on enhancing their tenant mix and upgrading properties to include more experiential and service-oriented tenants. This strategy has helped them create more resilient portfolios that are less vulnerable to e-commerce disruption, ensuring steady occupancy and rent growth.
  • Positive Market Outlook: Despite potential risks from economic fluctuations, retail REITs remain optimistic about future growth. With consumer spending holding steady and demand for quality retail space remaining strong, these trusts are well-positioned to continue delivering solid returns, even as they navigate a changing retail landscape.
  • Click on the button below to read the full story from Bisnow.
Read Full Story on Bisnow

Chart of the Week

JLL’s Office Rental Clock (U.S. Markets)

What’s Up With Los Angeles’ Retail Market?

The Los Angeles retail market showed notable resilience in Q2 2024, holding its ground despite economic headwinds. Demand for well-positioned retail space remains robust, helping to sustain occupancy rates and support moderate rent growth across the region.

Steady Occupancy and Active Leasing

Occupancy rates across Los Angeles held relatively steady, with the vacancy rate seeing a slight uptick to 5.2% from 5.0% last quarter. This minor increase is largely due to newly completed developments that are still in the lease-up phase. Even so, prime locations—think Beverly Hills, Santa Monica, and West Hollywood—continue to enjoy near-full occupancy, underpinned by strong tenant demand.

Leasing activity remains a key driver, with retailers focusing on securing high-visibility locations with strong foot traffic. Shopping centers anchored by grocery stores and experiential retail outlets are particularly sought after. Lifestyle centers and open-air retail formats are gaining traction, as tenants view these setups as more adaptable to the evolving retail landscape.

Modest Rent Growth Amid Market Dynamics

Rent growth across Los Angeles has been modest but steady, with average asking rents rising 1.3% year-over-year to $3.26 per square foot per month. Notably, high-demand submarkets like Beverly Hills and West Hollywood are seeing more significant rent increases due to the scarcity of available space. Conversely, areas with higher vacancy rates are experiencing more subdued rent growth, with some landlords offering concessions to attract quality tenants.

A key trend is the increasing diversity of tenant types. While fashion and dining still dominate, there’s a growing presence of non-traditional tenants like healthcare providers, fitness studios, and entertainment venues. This diversification is enhancing the market’s stability, cushioning it against potential downturns in specific retail sectors.

Investment and Development Trends

Investment in Los Angeles retail properties remains healthy, although it has slowed from the frantic pace of recent years. Investors are becoming more discerning, with a focus on properties in prime locations that feature stable, long-term tenants. Cap rates for top-tier assets are holding steady around 5.5%, indicating ongoing confidence in the market’s fundamentals.

New development continues, albeit at a more measured pace, with a particular emphasis on mixed-use projects that blend retail with residential and office space. This trend is particularly pronounced in urban settings, where demand for lifestyle-oriented developments remains high.

Looking Ahead

As we move forward, the Los Angeles retail market is expected to continue its steady performance, supported by ongoing demand for prime retail locations. However, economic uncertainties—ranging from shifts in consumer spending to interest rate volatility—could present challenges.

Nonetheless, the market’s underlying strength suggests that Los Angeles remains a compelling destination for both tenants and investors looking to navigate the evolving retail landscape.

For a detailed analysis, refer to the full CBRE’s report by clicking on the button below:

Read JLL’s Full Report

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