Retail is defying all expectations.

September 29, 2024

Good morning, everyone.

  • Retail is defying all expectations.
  • Data center vacancy falls despite surge in supply.
  • Adams want NYC to cut its office position.

Market Snapshot

Retailers Can’t Find Enough Space

Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on Unsplash
  • Unexpected Demand Surge: Defying predictions of a retail slump, the sector is seeing strong demand for physical space. Retailers are vying for prime locations, driven by healthy consumer spending and the strategic importance of maintaining a physical presence.
  • Emphasis on Experience and Omnichannel Strategies: Retailers are leveraging physical stores to enhance customer experience, providing immersive environments that foster brand loyalty. These stores are also becoming critical components of omnichannel strategies, serving as fulfillment centers and customer service hubs to support online sales.
  • Widespread Demand Across Different Markets: Interest in retail space extends beyond traditional urban centers, with suburban locations and mixed-use developments gaining traction. This shift reflects changes in consumer behavior, such as the increase in remote work and the preference for convenient shopping options closer to home.
  • Optimistic Market Outlook: Despite broader economic uncertainties, the retail sector shows resilience. Retailers’ innovative use of physical space and commitment to enhancing customer experiences suggest continued strong demand. This trend presents opportunities for landlords and investors poised to capitalize on the growing need for high-quality retail locations.
  • Click on the button below to read the full story from Bisnow.
Read Full Story on Bisnow

Chart of the Week

Top 20 Markets for Net-Lease Investment Volume, Q2 2024.

What’s Up With Multifamily in Boise?

The Boise multifamily market showed strong performance in the second quarter of 2024, marked by rising occupancy rates and positive net absorption.

Here's a look at the key trends shaping the market:

Occupancy and Demand

The overall occupancy rate in Boise increased to 94.3%, marking the second consecutive quarter of gains. Demand for multifamily units outpaced supply for the second straight quarter, with 974 units absorbed in Q2. This strong demand is fueled by Boise's growing population and a robust local economy, which continue to drive interest in multifamily housing.

Rental Rates

After a period of stabilization, the average effective monthly rent saw an increase, reaching $1,575 in Q2 2024. This is the first quarter-over-quarter rent increase since Q3 2022, signaling a rebound in rental demand. The rise in average rents reflects both the healthy demand for apartments and the limited new supply coming online.

Construction and New Supply

The volume of new multifamily construction is beginning to moderate, with 4,742 units under construction—the lowest level since Q1 2022. In Q2 2024, 782 units were delivered, bringing the year-to-date total to 1,407 units. This represents a decline in construction activity compared to previous years, indicating a shift towards stabilizing the supply-demand balance.

Market Dynamics

The Nampa/Meridian/Caldwell submarket led in new construction activity, delivering 470 units in Q2, while the Boise submarket delivered 312 units. Both submarkets are seeing strong absorption, which is helping to maintain healthy occupancy levels. The demand for multifamily space in the Treasure Valley is expected to remain robust, driven by continued population growth and rising home prices that make renting a more attractive option.

Economic Drivers

Boise’s economy continues to be a key factor in supporting the multifamily market. Job growth remains strong, with a 2.8% year-over-year increase, and the city’s population is projected to grow by 2.1% in 2024. This economic and population growth supports the ongoing demand for rental housing, making Boise a favorable market for multifamily investors.

Outlook

Looking ahead, the Boise multifamily market is poised for continued growth. With strong absorption, rising rents, and a pipeline of new projects approaching completion, the market is well-positioned to meet the needs of its expanding population. While new supply levels are moderating, the demand fundamentals remain solid, suggesting a stable outlook for the remainder of the year.

In summary, the Boise multifamily market's performance in Q2 2024 reflects a healthy balance of demand and supply, with positive indicators for continued growth. Investors and developers can expect ongoing opportunities as Boise's population and economy continue to expand.

For a detailed analysis, refer to the full C&W’s report by clicking on the button below:

Read JLL’s Full Report

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