Private lending is the new norm.

July 11, 2024

Good morning, everyone.

  • Private lending accounted for nearly half of lending activity in Q1.
  • Lenders warn of bank failures at The Real Deal Forum in NYC.
  • An oversupply of industrial properties is occurring in the Inland Empire.

Market Snapshot

Private Lending is Booming, Making Up Close to Half of Lending Activity in Q1.

Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on Unsplash
  • Alternative lenders issued 47.2% of non-agency loans in Q1, while banks only made up 23%, according to CBRE.
  • As enormous amounts of CRE debt are coming due, private lenders will step in to fill in the gap caused by traditional banks’ stricter lending criteria.
  • CLOs (Collateralized Loan Obligations) are experiencing the fastest growth, with $1.5B of these issued during Q1, compared with $700M in the last quarter of 2023. CLOs are below investment grade loans combined into bundles of 150-250 loans, of which investors purchases stakes (tranches).
  • Such lenders are gaining in confidence, as $1T of CRE debt is set to mature this year according to MSCI, with many landlords having yet to refinance their assets.
  • Putro says office loans are the most likely to require refinancing as many large, high LTV loans were issued in the past, and it is no secret that values are slumping.
  • Click on the button below to read the full story from Bisnow.
Read Full Story on Bisnow

Chart of the Week

The Energy and Utilities segment is experiencing a 96% increase in volume leased in Q1, compared to the previous quarter.

The most stable industry remains Food & Beverage, with a slight 6% increase QoQ.

Hospitality is Recovering, as RevPAR exceeds 2019 levels.

In 2023, Hotel owners feared a recession, which ended up never happening.

Nonetheless, investment volumes in the hospitality sector were heavily affected by rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, such as the Ukraine-Russia and Israel-Hamas wars.

RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) has now fully recovered from 2019 levels, except for the Asia Pacific region. The Middle East is leading the way, with a 121% recovery, while APAC stands at 94%.

Globally, RevPAR has exceeded levels from 2019 by 12%, even though there is still potential for extra growth, especially since China is experiencing an afflux of outbound tourists.

According to JLL, the regions one should pay attention to are Europe (Paris Olympic Games), India, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, as well as broader Asia, since Chinese citizens are eager for new destinations.

Read JLL’s Full Report

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