Is 70% off enough to make it a great deal? It might not be.

July 11, 2024

Good morning, everyone.

  • Oaktree’s co-chairman says the office market could decline further.
  • DFW’s industrial market is about to experience an oversupply issue.
  • Demand for housing has reached one of its highest peaks in 24 years.

Market Snapshot

“Let's say you are getting 70% off. Is that enough?”

Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on Unsplash
  • Howard Marks, billionaire co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, said 70% off an office building might not be enough.
  • Having built his empire by hunting for underpriced deals, Marks emphasized that “an asset whose value is down doesn’t automatically turn it into a bargain. It has to be down more than it should be, depending on the fundamentals.”
  • Marks is cautious, as Oaktree lost 25% of its investment in a Coral Gables office park last March and one of their shopping malls in Ireland was placed in receivership in May.
  • Regarding other asset classes, the story takes a different picture. As values are falling and maturity dates approaching, Oaktree will be able to step in and take over distressed debt, which they specialize in.
  • Marks said private equity is going under the same process: as pulling out leverage has become more difficult and more costly, Oaktree gets more opportunities.
  • Click on the button below to read the full story from Bisnow.
Read Full Story on Bisnow

Chart of the Week

Chicago CBD Office Insights up to Q1 2024 (JLL)

Is The Inland Empire Dead or Well Alive?

The Inland Empire industrial market continues its dynamic evolution, exhibiting notable changes in Q2 2024.

The vacancy rate edged up to 6.8%, reflecting a balance between new supply and persistent demand. Net absorption for the quarter stood at 3.8 million square feet (SF), underscoring robust demand amid economic uncertainties.

A total of 7.2 million SF of new industrial space was delivered this quarter, with an additional 13.2 million SF under construction. This influx has slightly increased vacancy rates but the market remains strong. The average lease rate has risen to $1.27 per SF per month, driven by high demand and limited available space.


Submarket Insights:

Inland Empire East experienced a higher vacancy rate of 7.9% with a net absorption of -1.63 million SF. Leasing activity was significant, totaling 3.28 million SF, with 5.83 million SF under construction. Lease rates averaged $1.20 per SF per month.

Inland Empire West demonstrated stronger performance with a lower vacancy rate of 5.9% and a net absorption of 5.43 million SF. This submarket led in leasing activity with 9.02 million SF and has 7.39 million SF under construction. Lease rates averaged $1.30 per SF per month.

Inland Empire North showed stability with a 7.0% vacancy rate and no net absorption this quarter. While no leasing activity was recorded, 1.3 million SF is under construction, with lease rates at $0.93 per SF per month.

Market Trends and Future Outlook:

The Inland Empire industrial market remains attractive to investors due to its strategic location and strong fundamentals. However, potential oversupply, signaled by the significant space under construction, and economic uncertainties present challenges.

Sustainability and Resilience:

Incorporating sustainable practices and resilience strategies is essential as the industrial real estate landscape evolves. Developers are increasingly adopting green building practices to meet tenant demand and comply with regulatory standards. Flexible leasing terms are also crucial to accommodate shifting tenant needs amid economic fluctuations.

The Inland Empire industrial market is poised for continued growth, but stakeholders must remain vigilant. Adopting sustainable and adaptable strategies is key to navigating future challenges and capitalizing on emerging opportunities.

For a detailed analysis, refer to the full CBRE Q2 2024 report by clicking on the button below.

Read JLL’s Full Report

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